Friday, September 10, 2004
Sitting on the sidelines, it's difficult to watch the news. So much to say about it, but I've moved away from detailing some of the minor stories that I would normally use in a broadcast...this one, I just can't resist because it offers a lot of room to explore.
It's the most recent charges of National Guard Service by Democrats against George W Bush. I didn't see the 60-minutes story about some supposed new memos found in a drawer somewhere in Texas, but I've seen the aftermath and it's going to be fun to watch a lot of people squirm.
The basis of the "problem" appears to be that the papers found and vetted by CBS News appear to be forged. I won't get into what I think about whether they are or not (I think they are forgeries), but what will happen to a few of the major players:
- The Media. CBS has a big problem on their hands. Like "anonymous sources" they protect as a First Amendment issue, they will protect their reports and reporters...to their doom. They can't blame partisan bias, because they're not supposed to have any. They can't blame their source, because they'll look like fools to other sources. They can't blame their researchers who looked over the authenticity of the documents, because they told every viewer to trust their judgement. Other news organizations are going to be attacking this like nobody's business...ABC News has a lengthy story about it on their website and on Nightline last night...the Washington Post is killing them with a story about the forgeries...other newspapers and TV organizations who see advantage in ruining the reputation of another information outlet will go in for the kill too.
- The Partisans. Not much will happen to the real left-wing loonies...because they'll believe most anything bad about George W Bush. If they already believe that "Bush Knew" with regard to September 11th...there's not much further into the stratosphere of rediculousness they can go. But you must understand something...a lot of partisans are being praised for their "cutting edge" and "young technology whizzes" who have led the blogging, the internet fundraising, the text messaging activists, you name it. The internet organized and tech-savvy liberals will have a tough time denying that the memos are fake...because it's so obvious. Some won't care, of course...but others won't let a politician or a cause get in the way of their tech-egos and it will damage their faith in only one of those...most likely politicians (specifically John Kerry whom they don't really care much about anyway...remember, it's Anybody But Bush).
- The Democrats. The American people will see that this is a sloppy, sad attempt at getting them to question their loyalty to a political choice. Many will come to the realization that if this was put forward by John Kerry's campaign friends and supporters...that they're on the wrong team. Anyone who would be so stupid as to write a memo...forged on something so obvious as Microsoft Word...and pass it off as true - will give a lot of Americans a bad vibe. They'll either end up not voting...or switching to GWB for spite.
Future predictions:
John Kerry will deny any involvement...but people won't believe him.
The media will do it's best to hold out until something more interesting comes along...and drop it in the middle of the storm. To them, they're hoping it will be like NBC's experimentation with exploding gas tanks. It'll be funny for a while.
Dan Rather will get a little more heat on him to step down. As anchor of the report, he'll be forever tainted as someone who was duped so easily. Either that, or he'll be seen as lazy (which I believe is the primary cause of this sloppy report). I think he'll do it...he'll step down at the end of the election.
George W Bush will win handily in November. I, myself, will hold my nose and vote for him.
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